Fuel cell - Cleantech Forecast

The future for the fuel cell patent sector can be characterized as being split between the major automotive manufacturers and major Japanese manufacturers concerned with developing DMFCs (direct methanol fuel cells).

For example, as reflected in the Fuel Cell Forecast chart, from 2009 to 2012, the authors predict that the major patent recipients will include Honda, GM, Toyota, and Nissan on the automotive front, and Samsung and Toshiba on the DMFC front. The clear strategy for companies in the automotive industry is to accumulate a strong patent portfolio to protect their fuel-saving technology as recently reported by the Wall Street Journal (See “Toyota Builds Thicket of Patents Around Hybrid To Block Competitors,” The Wall Street Journal, July 1, 2009, available here.) Honda was found to be high on the list from 2005-2008, and is expected to remain very competitive for issuing patents in the sector through 2012. GM has also received numerous patents in this area in the past, but its patent filings are dropping off somewhat as reflected by its lower than usual anticipated patents to be issued in 2012. Toyota, who also has a strong presence in the Hybrid patent field, has in the past been a leader in this area and is expected to remain so through 2012.

On the DMFC side, two major players – Toshiba and Samsung – have emerged as predicted dominant players in the future. Toshiba is developing DMFCs for notebook PC applications and for use in cell phones. Samsung has reported developing DMFCs for military use to power military electronics for short periods of time.

Another significant player in the fuel cell market in the future is Canon, the camera manufacturer. Canon is developing fuel cells to be used in its cameras.

Overall, the fuel cell market is a relatively mature one that is expected to show moderate growth (on the order of 15-20%) through 2012.